Carblecast

Net-Positive coffee and cocoa?

Carble
October 5, 2023

Net-Positive coffee and cocoa?

In our new video series, Carblecast: coffee, cocoa, & climate, Cable’s CEO, Sander Reuderink, explains how we can make sure commodities like coffee and cocoa have a net-positive impact on our environment. Listen and watch episode #1 or scroll further to read the transcript.

Planetary net zero emissions by 2050 with limited natural resources

News headlines reveal the ambitious climate goals of commodity companies: net zero by 2050. As commodity industries, we know how important it is to meet these goals. According to the Paris Agreement, which all major economies signed, we need to cut our emissions in half by 2030 and reach planetary net zero emissions by 2050. 

This means we cannot continue to allocate unlimited natural resources to products that have little or no nutritional value, like coffee, no matter how delicious they are. So the question remains: How can we make sure that commodities like coffee and cocoa have a net-positive impact on our environment?

What does a bag of coffee emit?

The production of a bag of coffee emits carbon due to packaging, distribution, roasting, grinding, transport, and fertilizer use on the farm. But around 70% of the carbon footprint of a bag of coffee is caused by ‘Land-use change’, another word for deforestation. For other commodities, like cocoa, tea, and rubber, the picture is very similar.

Deforestation causes ~5Gt of emissions, 10% of all our emissions. That is 5x as much as the aviation industry emits. Clearly ending deforestation should be our highest priority on the road to net-zero tropical commodities. But before we go there, let’s have a quick look at how deforestation is included in the footprint calculations of a commodity.

IPCC tiers of accuracy

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) identifies 3 tiers of accuracy:

  • Tier 1 methods are the most simplified methods using global estimates with large uncertainty ranges.
  • Tier 2 methods have intermediate complexity and involve country or specific data with lower uncertainty ranges.
  • Tier 3 methods have the highest accuracy, and require traceability to the farm plots and remote sensing (the analysis of satellite data) to calculate emissions from land-use change. 

At Carble, all our work starts with accurate Tier-3 measurements. In our experience, these more accurate Tier-3 measurements always result in much higher emissions than the national averages indicate. Now, of course, none of this would make any sense if producers can be deforesting this year, but do not have to account for any emissions from deforestation next year. To prevent this, companies have to include historical emissions of the last 20 years with a linear discount formula.

How do we reach a net-positive future?

To answer how we reach a net-positive future, we have to first understand that commodities like coffee and cocoa are traditionally grown under the shade of larger trees, which brings huge advantages in terms of carbon storage and biodiversity.

But since farmers do not get rewarded for the services they provide to the planet, the amount of coffee grown under share reduces every year, resulting in massive carbon emissions. Coffee and cocoa farmers in almost all countries earn less than a living income, and nobody can look after the environment when they are hungry.

Source: Coffee Barometer 2023

In our opinion, since carbon from deforestation enters the atmosphere immediately, the highest priority on the road to net zero tropical commodities should be to prevent this degradation of the forest canopy and reward farmers for keeping the carbon stored safely in the trees.

Then, when we have made sure there is no deforestation or forest degradation, we can start looking at reforestation: supporting farmers as they transition to more regenerative farming practices, and planting new shade trees. These trees will take 20 or 30 years to mature and absorb all the carbon from the atmosphere, but they can actually absorb more carbon than is emitted by the rest of the production - resulting in a net positive product.

So, if we want to drink coffee in 2050, we will get the best ROI of our decarbonization if we reward smallholder farmers for keeping carbon stored in agroforestry. What an achievement would it be if we could enjoy our coffee and know that all people in the supply chain can afford a decent standard of living while looking after our planet?

Questions after watching or reading through episode #1 of the Carblecast? Please reach out

Related Blogs